Leeds Opta Table: Tight Call v Forest, West Ham, Palace, Spurs

Key Points

• Opta’s latest predicted final Premier League table shows a tight new call for Leeds United in their battle for survival.
• Leeds United sit fifth-bottom on 26 points after a 4-0 defeat to Arsenal, their second league loss in 11 games.
• Nottingham Forest now match Leeds on 26 points after a 1-1 draw with Crystal Palace, trailing only on goals scored.​
• West Ham remain third-bottom on 20 points, six points behind Leeds and Forest, following a 3-2 loss at Chelsea after leading 2-0 at half-time.
• Tottenham Hotspur (14th, 29 points) and Crystal Palace (15th, 29 points) are three points ahead, with Spurs drawing 2-2 at home to Manchester City.
• Leeds were six points clear of West Ham and one point ahead of Forest before the weekend fixtures.​
• Game Week 24 concludes with Sunderland vs Burnley on Monday night.​
• The prediction features changes for Leeds from the current table, with data experts Opta analysing post-match scenarios.

Leeds (The Leeds Times) February 2, 2026
The picture has altered dramatically in Leeds United’s battle for Premier League survival, leading to a tight new Whites call in Opta’s fresh predicted final Premier League table and points, as reported by Lee Sobot of the Yorkshire Evening Post. Leeds approached Saturday afternoon’s visit of title-favourites Arsenal sat fifth-bottom, six points clear of third-bottom West Ham and also one point ahead of fourth-bottom Nottingham Forest. However, Leeds opened the door for both Forest and West Ham to close in after suffering a 4-0 defeat to Arsenal for just a second league loss in the club’s last 11 games.

What Happened in Leeds United’s Arsenal Clash?

West Ham then looked to be heading for a massive boost in Saturday evening’s clash at Chelsea, where they led 2-0 at the interval, only for the Blues to pull off a second-half comeback and ultimately seal a 3-2 victory. It was something of a let-off for Leeds, and the same again the following day as Forest ultimately took just a point through a 1-1 draw at home to Crystal Palace. Nevertheless, Forest have now joined Daniel Farke’s Whites in sitting on 26 points, only trailing them on goals scored, according to the current standings.

Looking down the table, Leeds and Forest are both six points ahead of West Ham. Looking up, there is a three-point gap to 14th-placed Tottenham Hotspur and 15th-placed Crystal Palace, with Spurs bagging an unlikely point from Sunday’s 2-2 draw at home to Manchester City, who led 2-0 at the break.

How Does Opta’s Model Work?

With just the Monday night game between Sunderland and Burnley left from Game Week 24, data experts Opta have now produced their new predicted final table and points, which features a Whites change from the current table and a tight call. Opta’s supercomputer runs thousands of simulations based on current form, historical data, and fixture difficulty to forecast end-of-season positions. As noted in various reports, including from The Analyst, this model gives probabilities for outcomes like Chelsea’s high confidence win over West Ham at 69.1% pre-match.

The fresh prediction highlights a “tight new Leeds United call” against rivals Nottingham Forest, West Ham United, Crystal Palace, and Tottenham Hotspur.

What is the Current Premier League Table After Game Week 24?

Current standings after the weekend fixtures place Leeds United in 16th on 26 points (6 wins, 8 draws, 10 losses, GF 31, GA 42, GD -11). Nottingham Forest occupy 17th on the same points (7-5-12, GF 24, GA 35, GD -11). West Ham languish in 18th with 20 points (5-5-14, GF 29, GA 48, GD -19). Above them, Tottenham Hotspur hold 14th on 29 points (7-8-9, GF 35, GA 33, GD +2), level with Crystal Palace in 15th (7-8-9, GF 25, GA 29, GD -4).​

Leeds’ heavy loss to Arsenal, who top the table with 53 points from 24 games, has intensified the relegation scrap. Arsenal’s dominance continues, with 16 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses.​

Why is There a Tight Call for Leeds United?

As reported by Lee Sobot of the Yorkshire Evening Post,

“The picture has altered in Leeds United’s battle for Premier League survival, leading to a tight new Whites call in Opta’s fresh predicted final Premier League table and points.”

This tight call specifically involves Leeds United, Nottingham Forest, West Ham, Crystal Palace, and Tottenham Hotspur, with Opta predicting narrow margins in their final positions.

Social media updates from Leeds News on X echo this, stating

“Strong Leeds United call vs West Ham, Forest, Palace, Spurs in Opta’s new predicted final Premier League table.”

A Facebook post from YEP.newspaper adds context on survival odds, mentioning a “massive 94% survival verdict” in earlier Opta runs for Leeds, though the latest tightens the race.

What Do Recent Results Mean for Survival Hopes?

Leeds’ 4-0 defeat to Arsenal was their second league loss in 11 games, showing resilience under Daniel Farke despite the setback. West Ham’s collapse from 2-0 up against Chelsea provided relief, keeping them six points adrift. Forest’s draw with Palace allowed them to catch Leeds on points, but goal difference favours the Whites.

Spurs’ draw against Manchester City, who led 2-0, keeps them three points clear but vulnerable. Opta’s pre-match predictions had flagged Forest vs Palace as likely a draw, which materialised.

Who Are the Teams in the Tight Race?

The key contenders are Leeds United (26 pts), Nottingham Forest (26 pts), West Ham United (20 pts), Crystal Palace (29 pts), and Tottenham Hotspur (29 pts). Leeds and Forest are locked together, six ahead of West Ham, while Palace and Spurs lead by three. Opta’s model sees potential for shifts, with Leeds edging a “strong call” over direct rivals.

Earlier Opta verdicts gave Leeds high survival chances at 94%, but recent results have compressed the battle.

What Does Opta’s Full Predicted Table Look Like?

While the exact full rundown from Opta’s latest post-Game Week 24 prediction is highlighted in reverse order from top to bottom in the Yorkshire Evening Post article by Lee Sobot, specifics point to Arsenal as champions, with Manchester City second, Liverpool third, and Chelsea fourth. Tottenham are projected 8th, indicating a climb or stability.

At the bottom, the tight call positions Leeds favourably against Forest, West Ham, Palace, and Spurs, though full points projections remain model-dependent. Broader supercomputer runs, like those from GiveMeSport, predict challenges for promoted sides including Leeds, but this latest Opta update offers optimism for the Whites.

How Have Fixtures Impacted Predictions?

Saturday’s Arsenal win over Leeds (66.6% Opta pre-match favourite) aligned with expectations. Chelsea’s comeback vs West Ham (69.1% predicted) and Forest-Palace draw shifted dynamics. Sunderland vs Burnley on Monday could further influence, with Sunderland on 33 points (11th).

Posts from Leeds United YEP on Facebook emphasise “big Leeds United changes v Forest, West Ham in new Opta predicted final Premier League table.”​

What Are the Implications for Daniel Farke’s Leeds?

Daniel Farke’s side now shares points with Forest but holds goal difference advantage. Staying above West Ham by six points offers breathing room, but the three-point gap to safety looms. Opta’s tight call underscores the need for consistency in upcoming fixtures.